Best Links of the Day

Humans vs. Machines in Financial Services (thank you Kedrosky)

Chief Executive at Strayer honored (Strayer is indeed a very well managed firm)

Format war probably over in high definition DVD and Blu-ray wins Implications: 1/ buy a PS3 for the massively subsidized blu-ray player. 2/ Sony wins revenge for Betamax 3/ blu-ray is a better format so this is a good victory, 4/ in the long-run, any disc based format is dead anyway

Why Knol (Google's response to Wikipedia) won't work

PageRank wrecked the web (Rich Skrenta, Search Engine Genius, old link but fun)

Rocket Man - interview with Richard Branson (WSJ)

Posted on January 5, 2008 and filed under Technology.

Today's Best Links

I am going to try a new format for now since my posting has declined dramatically. Lots more posts showing interesting links. Fewer but more meaningful written articles. We'll see how this goes and we will probably reorganize a bit over time.

Recession is now inevitable (Roubini)

The last shoe to drop for recession (Roubini, more recent) Financial implications of Software as a Service From Paul Kedrosky.

Putting Privilege into Perspective (WSJ)

Option ARM map of misery (Businessweek) We've shown it before. Just a reminder to look at California!

Auto sales decline (Calculated Risk)

Corporate Defaults to rise (no-kidding!) (Calculated Risk)

Consumer Delinquencies Highest since last recession (Calculated Risk)

Marsh to reorganize (long needed, stock languishing but great underlying asset in insurance brokerage) From NY Times Company Announcement

Economists looking for a bunker to hide in (WSJ econ blog)

Deals not closing (what a surprise)!

Posted on January 4, 2008 and filed under Finance.

Euro transition

So on Jan 1, 2008, Cyprus transitioned to the Euro, replacing the Cyprus Pound. It was very interesting for a geek like me to watch the transition which was incredibly smooth. There has been dual euro-pound pricing for a year now and merchants will accept both currencies for the next month. Most impressive is all the behind the scenes work that has transitioned all payment systems to a new system (including dual pricing for some time). As far as I have seen, there has have been no hiccups.

I am usually unimpressed by governmental performance in Cyprus but this is a great triumph for the Ministry of Finance and Central Bank. They successfully protected the Cypriot pound (initially through currency restrictions) after the Turkish invasion in 1974, kept it strong for 3 decades, started loosening restrictions in the 1990s, locked with the Euro in the late 1990s and have been harmonizing fiscal and monetary policy since. Central Bank lending rates have been on a decade long decline and as of two days ago the last 50 basis points (4.5% v. 4.0%) vs the ECB went away.

The currency administrators deserve kudos for avoiding a devaluation along the way and transitioning Cyprus into the Euro where the currency's fate is in larger and stronger hands. The current administration also deserves credit for managing inflation and even generating a fiscal surplus this year, something that other candidate members like Lithuania were not able to do and therefore missed the euro convergence date.

Finally, I watched a documentary on Cypriot coinage. As nostalgic as one might be for the 47 year Cypriot pound (it came into being after independence from the UK), it was the shortest-serving of the island's currencies, that have include the British Pound, Ottoman, Roman, Hellenistic, Byzantine, local and other currencies. The record holder is the Byzantine currency which was in use for an astounding 700 years. I will be surprised if the euro lasts that long.

Sorry for the geek-out on this, but i found it to be fascinating.

and Happy New Year!

Posted on January 4, 2008 and filed under Cyprus.