The Man Who Owns The Internet

Great article on Kevin Ham in Business 2.0 Great, long article. Excerpts below:

Kevin Ham is the most powerful dotcom mogul you've never heard of, reports Business 2.0 Magazine. Here's how the master of Web domains built a $300 million empire.

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Since 2000 he has quietly cobbled together a portfolio of some 300,000 domains that, combined with several other ventures, generate an estimated $70 million a year in revenue.

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And what few people know is that he's also the man behind the domain world's latest scheme: profiting from traffic generated by the millions of people who mistakenly type ".cm" instead of ".com" at the end of a domain name.

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Ham still buys 30 to 100 names a day, but he's no longer getting them on the cheap. In fact, he and Schilling, who today maintains a $20 million-a-year portfolio from his home in the Cayman Islands, are often accused of driving up prices.

Take, for example, the $26,250 Ham paid for Fruitgiftbaskets.com, or the $171,250 for Hoteldeals.com. "The amount he will pay is crazy," says Bob Martin, president of Internet REIT, a domain investment firm that has raised more than $125 million from private investors, including Maveron, the venture firm backed by Starbucks founder Howard Schultz.

Nonsense, Ham says. The names are expensive only if you value them the way people like Martin do. The VCs and bankers, who were late to the domain gold rush, assess names by calculating the pay-per-click ad revenue and attaching a multiple based on how long it would take to pay off the investment.

Viewed that way, Ham's personal portfolio alone is worth roughly $300 million. But some of Ham's recent domain purchases would also look silly: They'd take 15 or 20 years just to justify the price, and that assumes continuation of the pay-per-click model.

But Ham is taking a longer view. The Web, he says, is becoming cluttered with parked pages. The model is amazingly efficient -- lots of money for little work --but Ham argues that Internet users will soon grow weary of it all.

When Ham buys a domain now, he's not doing pay-per-click math but rather sizing it up as a potential business. Reinvent Technology aims to turn his most valuable names into mini media companies, based on hundreds of niche categories.

Posted on May 22, 2007 and filed under Online Media.

The Buyout Boom, Now Even Boomier

From Dealbook Excerpts

At $281 billion, U.S. private equity deals have more than tripled from a year ago, boosted by the recent buyouts of Alltel, First Data and others.

In the United States, leveraged buyouts account for 35 percent of all activity, up from about 16 percent last year.

Total merger-and-acquisition volume so far this year is $2.18 trillion, 77 percent above last year at this time. In the U.S., volume is at $802 billion, up 54 percent. In Europe, volume is up 129 percent, at $983.6 billion

This year-on-year comps are coming on another HUGE year in 2006. When does this trend line stop??

Posted on May 22, 2007 and filed under Finance.

Did Merrill, Morgan Stanley Overpay?

From WSJ $

Some of Wall Street's biggest players bet heavily on the subprime mortgage sector last year just as it started to head south. Now, investors are questioning whether the firms overpaid to get into a sector that has become less profitable.

Last year, Merrill Lynch & Co. and Morgan Stanley bought subprime mortgage lenders, with Merrill paying $1.3 billion for First Franklin and Morgan Stanley acquiring Saxon Capital Inc. for $706 million.

Matthew Howlett, a mortgage-sector analyst at Fox-Pitt, Kelton, estimates that the pace of subprime lending and the volume of securities backed by such loans may fall by nearly half this year. As a result, Mr. Howlett believes Merrill may have overpaid for First Franklin by $600 million. He doesn't believe Morgan Stanley overpaid as much for Saxon because that business includes a mortgage-servicing platform, which he believes has held more of its value.

Umm, no kidding. We said it at the time that this was a borderline insane decision (buying before the market collapse)

Let me explain how my guess is that this works:

1. You are an MD at ML

2. Your bonus depends on this year's securitization volume

3. Securitization volume starts falling

4. You convince your boss that to use ML's balance sheet (whose capital cost is probably not charged against your bonus calculation) to buy a subprime lender to maintain your flow

This misalignment of incentives is the generous description of what happened...

Posted on May 20, 2007 and filed under Finance.